In the first half of the year, the fixed assets investment in the machinery industry is too high to bear risks

On June 28th, during the 10th FA/PA International Modern Factory and Process Automation Technology and Equipment Exhibition, as well as the first "Automation Technology Summit Forum," Cai Weici, Executive Vice President of the China Machinery Industry Federation, highlighted a notable trend in the machinery sector. He pointed out that from January to May this year, the growth rate of fixed asset investment in the machinery industry significantly exceeded the national average, raising concerns about potential overinvestment. During the "Tenth Five-Year Plan" period, the machinery industry experienced remarkable growth, with an average annual increase in total output value of 23.5%, industrial added value rising by 24%, and profits growing by 31.62% on average. Export volumes also increased by 23.21% annually. This was the fastest-growing period in the industry's history. Notably, CNC machine tools, a key mechatronic product, saw an average annual growth of 33.5%. In 2006, the sector continued its rapid development trajectory. Cai Weici revealed that from January to May this year, all economic indicators for the machinery industry were operating at high levels. Among the 13 major sub-sectors, the growth rates for cultural equipment, internal combustion engines, and other civilian machinery were around 15%, while most others exceeded 25%. A key observation was the substantial year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment across the industry, with some sub-sectors showing concerning growth rates. While Cai acknowledged that the enthusiasm of enterprises to accelerate development is rational—given the industry’s need for technological upgrades and revitalization—he expressed concern that a significant portion of current investments may be redundant. This low-level overcapacity could exacerbate the existing oversupply issue in the mechanical products market, posing a hidden risk for the sector's long-term stability.

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